Risk of basal cell carcinoma in a randomized clinical trial of aspirin and folic acid for the prevention of colorectal adenomas.

BACKGROUND: Aspirin may reduce the risk of several types of cancer. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate if folic acid is associated with risk of basal cell carcinoma (BCC). METHODS: BCC incidence was evaluated in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial of aspirin (81 mg daily or 325 mg daily for ~3 years) and/or folic acid (1 mg daily for ~6 years) for the prevention of colorectal adenomas among 1121 participants with a previous adenoma. BCC was confirmed by blinded review of pathology reports. RESULTS: One hundred and four of 958 non-Hispanic white participants were diagnosed with BCC over a median follow-up of 13·5 years. Cumulative incidence of BCC was 12% [95% confidence interval (CI) 7-17] for placebo, 16% (95% CI 11-21) for 81 mg aspirin daily and 15% (95% CI 10-20) for 325 mg aspirin daily [hazard ratio (HR) for any aspirin 1·45 (95% CI 0·93-2·26); HR for 81 mg daily 1·57 (95% CI 0·96-2·56); HR for 325 mg daily 1·33 (95% CI 0·80-2·20)]. BCC risk was higher with aspirin use in those without previous skin cancer but lower with aspirin use in those with previous skin cancer (Pinteraction = 0·02 for 81 mg aspirin daily; Pinteraction = 0·03 for 325 mg aspirin daily). Folic acid supplementation was unrelated to BCC incidence (HR 0·85; 95% CI 0·57-1·27). CONCLUSIONS: Neither aspirin nor folic acid treatment had a statistically significant effect on risk of BCC. Subgroup analysis suggested that chemopreventive effects of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs may be specific to those at high risk for BCC.

The increasing incidence and prevalence of eosinophilic oesophagitis outpaces changes in endoscopic and biopsy practice: national population-based estimates from Denmark.

BACKGROUND: National population-based medical registries in Denmark offer a unique opportunity to study eosinophilic oesophagitis (EoE) epidemiology. AIM: To determine the incidence and prevalence of EoE in Denmark, and evaluate whether an increase in endoscopy with biopsy activity explains changes in these trends. METHODS: The Danish National Pathology Registry, Danish National Patient Registry and Danish Registry of Medicinal Product Statistics were queried from 1997 to 2012. Using an EoE case-finding algorithm validated for Danish patients, EoE cases were identified during each year of the study period; we also identified all patients with oesophageal eosinophilia. Using the known population of Demark, the annual incidence and prevalence of EoE were determined. We also determined the number of oesophageal biopsies performed each year in Denmark, and compared the change in the incidence rate to the change in biopsy rate. RESULTS: Between 1997 and 2012, 1708 patients had oesophageal eosinophilia, of whom 844 met the case definition of EoE. There were seven new cases of EoE in 1997 and 145 new cases in 2012, corresponding to a 19.5-fold increase in incidence (0.13/100 000 to 2.6/100 000). There were 769 total cases in 2012 (prevalence of 13.8/100 000). Over the same time frame, the oesophageal biopsy rate increased only 1.9 fold, from 91.1/100 000 to 175.3/100 000. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and prevalence of EoE markedly increased in Denmark over the past 15 years. This increase far outpaced the increase in oesophageal biopsy utilisation, indicating that changes in the frequency of EoE are not due to changes in biopsy rates alone.

Kidney disease and risk of venous thromboembolism: a nationwide population-based case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease is associated with hemostatic derangements, including both procoagulant activity and platelet dysfunction, which may influence the risk of venous thromboembolism. However, data associating kidney disease with risk of venous thromboembolism are sparse. OBJECTIVES: We examined whether kidney disease is associated with increased risk of venous thromboembolism. METHODS: We conducted this nationwide case-control study using data from medical databases. We included 128,096 patients with a hospital diagnosis of VTE in Denmark between 1980 and 2010 (54,473 had pulmonary embolism and 73,623 had deep venous thrombosis only) and 642,426 age- and gender-matched population controls based on risk-set sampling. We identified all previous hospital diagnoses of kidney disease, including nephrotic syndrome, glomerulonephritis without nephrotic syndrome, hypertensive nephropathy, chronic pyelonephritis/interstitial nephritis, polycystic kidney disease, diabetic nephropathy, or other kidney diseases. We used conditional logistic regression models to compute odds ratios (ORs) for venous thromboembolism with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULTS: Kidney disease was associated with an adjusted OR for venous thromboembolism ranging from 1.41 (95% CI, 1.22-1.63) for hypertensive nephropathy to 2.89 (95% CI, 2.26-3.69) for patients with nephrotic syndrome. The association was strongest within the first 3 months after a diagnosis of chronic kidney disease (adjusted OR for nephrotic syndrome = 23.23; 95% CI, 8.58-62.89), gradually declining thereafter. The risk, however, remained elevated for more than 5 years, especially in patients with nephrotic syndrome and glomerulonephritis. CONCLUSIONS: Kidney diseases, in particular nephrotic syndrome and glomerulonephritis, were associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism.

Characterisation of familial colorectal cancer Type X, Lynch syndrome, and non-familial colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Familial Colorectal Cancer Type X (FCCTX) is defined as individuals with colorectal cancer (CRC) who families meet Amsterdam Criteria-1 (AC1), but whose tumours are DNA-mismatch-repair-proficient, unlike Lynch syndrome (LS). FCCTX does not have an increased risk of extra-colonic cancers. This analysis compares epidemiologic and clinicopathologic features among FCCTX, LS, and 'non-familial' (non-AC1) CRC cases. METHODS: From the Colon Cancer Family Registry, FCCTX (n=173), LS (n=303), and non-AC1 (n=9603) CRC cases were identified. Questionnaire-based epidemiologic information and CRC pathologic features were compared across case groups using polytomous logistic regression. RESULTS: Compared with LS, FCCTX cases were less likely to be current (vs never) smokers; have a proximal subsite (vs rectal) tumour; or have mucinous histology, poor differentiation, or tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes. There were no observed differences in co-morbidities or medication usage. CONCLUSIONS: FCCTX were less likely to be current tobacco users; other exposures were similar between these groups. Histopathologic differences highly suggestive of LS CRCs do not appear to be shared by FCCTX.

Vascular and upper gastrointestinal effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs: meta-analyses of individual participant data from randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: The vascular and gastrointestinal effects of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), including selective COX-2 inhibitors (coxibs) and traditional non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (tNSAIDs), are not well characterised, particularly in patients at increased risk of vascular disease. We aimed to provide such information through meta-analyses of randomised trials. METHODS: We undertook meta-analyses of 280 trials of NSAIDs versus placebo (124,513 participants, 68,342 person-years) and 474 trials of one NSAID versus another NSAID (229,296 participants, 165,456 person-years). The main outcomes were major vascular events (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or vascular death); major coronary events (non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary death); stroke; mortality; heart failure; and upper gastrointestinal complications (perforation, obstruction, or bleed). FINDINGS: Major vascular events were increased by about a third by a coxib (rate ratio [RR] 1·37, 95% CI 1·14-1·66; p=0·0009) or diclofenac (1·41, 1·12-1·78; p=0·0036), chiefly due to an increase in major coronary events (coxibs 1·76, 1·31-2·37; p=0·0001; diclofenac 1·70, 1·19-2·41; p=0·0032). Ibuprofen also significantly increased major coronary events (2·22, 1·10-4·48; p=0·0253), but not major vascular events (1·44, 0·89-2·33). Compared with placebo, of 1000 patients allocated to a coxib or diclofenac for a year, three more had major vascular events, one of which was fatal. Naproxen did not significantly increase major vascular events (0·93, 0·69-1·27). Vascular death was increased significantly by coxibs (1·58, 99% CI 1·00-2·49; p=0·0103) and diclofenac (1·65, 0·95-2·85, p=0·0187), non-significantly by ibuprofen (1·90, 0·56-6·41; p=0·17), but not by naproxen (1·08, 0·48-2·47, p=0·80). The proportional effects on major vascular events were independent of baseline characteristics, including vascular risk. Heart failure risk was roughly doubled by all NSAIDs. All NSAID regimens increased upper gastrointestinal complications (coxibs 1·81, 1·17-2·81, p=0·0070; diclofenac 1·89, 1·16-3·09, p=0·0106; ibuprofen 3·97, 2·22-7·10, p<0·0001; and naproxen 4·22, 2·71-6·56, p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: The vascular risks of high-dose diclofenac, and possibly ibuprofen, are comparable to coxibs, whereas high-dose naproxen is associated with less vascular risk than other NSAIDs. Although NSAIDs increase vascular and gastrointestinal risks, the size of these risks can be predicted, which could help guide clinical decision making. FUNDING: UK Medical Research Council and British Heart Foundation.

KRAS-mutation status in relation to colorectal cancer survival: the joint impact of correlated tumour markers.

BACKGROUND: Mutations in the Kirsten Ras (KRAS) oncogene are common in colorectal cancer (CRC). The role of KRAS-mutation status as a prognostic factor, however, is unclear. We evaluated the relationship between KRAS-mutation status and CRC survival, considering heterogeneity in this association by tumour and patient characteristics. METHODS: The population-based study included individuals diagnosed with CRC between 1998-2007 in Western Washington State. Tumour specimens were tested for KRAS exon 2 mutations, the BRAF p.V600E mutation, and microsatellite instability (MSI). We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between KRAS-mutation status and disease-specific and overall survival. Stratified analyses were conducted by age, sex, tumour site, stage, and MSI. We conducted additional analyses combining KRAS-mutation, BRAF-mutation, and MSI status. RESULTS: Among 1989 cases, 31% had KRAS-mutated CRC. Kirsten Ras (KRAS)-mutated CRC was associated with poorer disease-specific survival (HR=1.37, 95% CI: 1.13-1.66). This association was not evident in cases who presented with distant-stage CRC. Cases with KRAS-wild-type/BRAF-wild-type/MSI-high CRC had the most favourable prognosis; those with CRC exhibiting a KRAS- or BRAF-mutation and no MSI had the poorest prognosis. Patterns were similar for overall survival. CONCLUSION: Kirsten Ras (KRAS)-mutated CRC was associated with statistically significantly poorer survival after diagnosis than KRAS-wild-type CRC.

Concomitant use of clopidogrel and proton pump inhibitors is not associated with major adverse cardiovascular events following coronary stent implantation.

BACKGROUND: Cytochrome P450 inhibition by proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) may attenuate the effectiveness of clopidogrel. AIM: To examine whether PPI use modifies the association between clopidogrel use and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with stent implantation, using time-varying drug exposure ascertainment. METHODS: We conducted this population-based cohort study in Western Denmark (population 3 million) using medical databases. We identified all 13,001 patients with coronary stent implantation between 2002 and 2005 and ascertained their reported comorbidities. During the recommended 12-month postintervention treatment period, we tracked use of clopidogrel and PPI and the rate of MACE. We used Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HRs), controlling for potential confounders. RESULTS: During follow-up, one or more prescriptions were redeemed by 91% of patients for clopidogrel and by 21% of patients for PPIs. Of the patients, 15% experienced a MACE. The adjusted HR for MACE comparing clopidogrel use with non-use was 0.57 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.44-0.74] among PPI users and 0.47 (95% CI: 0.42-0.53) among PPI non-users, yielding an interaction effect (i.e. relative rate increase) of 1.20 (95% CI: 0.91-1.58). PPI users treated from before PCI had a 25% increased rate of MACE compared to PPI non-users, independent of clopidogrel use [adjusted HR = 1.24 (95% CI: 0.97-1.58) for clopidogrel users and 1.26 (95% CI: 0.97-1.63) for clopidogrel non-users]. CONCLUSIONS: The use of PPIs as a class did not modify the protective effect of clopidogrel, but its use was associated with major adverse cardiovascular events itself, particularly among patients having used PPIs before percutaneous coronary intervention.

Body mass index in early adulthood and colorectal cancer risk for carriers and non-carriers of germline mutations in DNA mismatch repair genes.

BACKGROUND: Carriers of germline mutations in DNA mismatch repair (MMR) genes have a high risk of colorectal cancer (CRC), but the modifiers of this risk are not well established. We estimated an association between body mass index (BMI) in early adulthood and subsequent risk of CRC for carriers and, as a comparison, estimated the association for non-carriers. METHODS: A weighted Cox regression was used to analyse height and weight at 20 years reported by 1324 carriers of MMR gene mutations (500 MLH1, 648 MSH2, 117 MSH6 and 59 PMS2) and 1219 non-carriers from the Colon Cancer Family Registry. RESULTS: During 122,304 person-years of observation, we observed diagnoses of CRC for 659 carriers (50%) and 36 non-carriers (3%). For carriers, the risk of CRC increased by 30% for each 5 kg m(-2) increment in BMI in early adulthood (hazard ratio, HR: 1.30; 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.08-1.58; P=0.01), and increased by 64% for non-carriers (HR: 1.64; 95% CI: 1.02-2.64; P=0.04) after adjusting for sex, country, cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking (and the MMR gene that was mutated in carriers). The difference in HRs for carriers and non-carriers was not statistically significant (P=0.50). For MLH1 and PMS2 (MutLα heterodimer) mutation carriers combined, the corresponding increase was 36% (HR: 1.36; 95% CI: 1.05-1.76; P=0.02). For MSH2 and MSH6 (MutSα heterodimer) mutation carriers combined, the HR was 1.26 (95% CI: 0.96-1.65; P=0.09). There was no significant difference between the HRs for MutLα and MutSα heterodimer carriers (P=0.56). CONCLUSION: Body mass index in early adulthood is positively associated with risk of CRC for MMR gene mutation carriers and non-carriers.

Short- and long-term mortality following primary total hip replacement for osteoarthritis: a Danish nationwide epidemiological study.

We evaluated the short-term of 0 to 90 days and the longer term, up to 12.7 years, mortality for patients undergoing primary total hip replacement (THR) in Denmark in comparison to the general population. Through the Danish Hip Arthroplasty Registry we identified all primary THRs undertaken for osteoarthritis between 1 January 1995 and 31 December 2006. Each patient (n = 44 558) was matched at the time of surgery with three people from the general population (n = 133 674). We estimated mortality rates and mortality rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals for THR patients compared with the general population. There was a one-month period of increased mortality immediately after surgery among THR patients, but overall short-term mortality (0 to 90 days) was significantly lower (mortality rate ratio 0.8; 95% confidence interval 0.7 to 0.9). However, THR surgery was associated with increased short-term mortality in subjects under 60 years old, and among THR patients without comorbidity. Long-term mortality was lower among THR patients than in controls (mortality rate ratio 0.7; 95% confidence interval 0.7 to 0.7). Overall, THR was associated with lower short- and long-term mortality among patients with osteoarthritis. Younger patients and patients without comorbidity before surgery may also experience increased mortality after THR surgery, although the absolute risk of death is small.

Oral bisphosphonates and risk of ischemic stroke: a case-control study.

UNLABELLED: Bisphosphonates have been associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation and may thus be associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. This would have substantial clinical and public health implications. We found no evidence of an association between bisphosphonate use and risk of ischemic stroke. INTRODUCTION: Bisphosphonates have been associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation in some studies and may be associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. However, data regarding these possibilities are limited. METHODS: We conducted a population-based case-control study of 6,257 female cases of ischemic stroke and 31,285 age- and gender-matched population controls. Data on bisphosphonate use, other medication use, comorbidity, and ischemic stroke were obtained from medical databases. Current bisphosphonate use was defined as at least one redeemed prescription within 90 days before diagnosis/index date. We estimated the odds ratio (OR) of ischemic stroke among users and nonusers of bisphosphonates using conditional logistic regression, controlling for potential confounding factors. RESULTS: One hundred eighty-two (2.9%) cases and 901 (2.9%) controls were current users of bisphosphonates. Etidronate and alendronate were prescribed with similar frequency among cases and controls. The adjusted OR of ischemic stroke for bisphosphonate users compared with nonusers was 0.97 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.82-1.15). New and continuing bisphosphonate users had adjusted ORs for ischemic stroke of 1.16 (95% CI, 0.69-1.96) and 0.97 (95% CI, 0.81-1.16), respectively. Excluding patients with known atrial fibrillation/flutter yielded an OR of 1.00 (95% CI, 0.85-1.19). The OR for ischemic stroke was 0.59 (95% CI, 0.32-1.09) among patients with a history of previous hospitalization for cardiovascular disease and 1.07 (95% CI, 0.88-1.18) among those without (P < 0.001). The OR for former users was 1.23 (95% CI, 1.01-1.49). CONCLUSION: We found no evidence of an association of oral bisphosphonate use with the risk of ischemic stroke.

Familial risk of venous thromboembolism: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism has genetic determinants, but population-based data on familial risks are limited. OBJECTIVES: To examine the familial risk of venous thromboembolism. METHODS: We undertook a nationwide study of a cohort of patients with deep venous thrombosis or pulmonary embolism born after 1952. We used the Danish National Registry of Patients covering all Danish hospitals, for the years 1977 through 2009, to identify index cases of venous thromboembolism, and assessed the incidence among their siblings. We compared standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of the observed and expected number of venous thromboembolism cases among siblings, using population-specific, gender-specific and age-specific incidence rates. RESULTS: We identified 30,179 siblings of 19,599 cases of venous thromboembolism. The incidence among siblings was 2.2 cases per 1000 person-years, representing a relative risk of 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.80-3.39) as compared with the general population. The risk was higher for both men (SIR 3.36, 95% CI 2.96-3.82) and women (SIR 2.81, 95% CI 2.45-3.23). The risk was similar among siblings of index cases with venous thrombosis and those of index cases with pulmonary embolism. CONCLUSION: Venous thromboembolism has a strong familial component.

Hospitalisation for venous thromboembolism in cancer patients and the general population: a population-based cohort study in Denmark, 1997-2006.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) frequently complicates cancer. Data on tumour-specific VTE predictors are limited, but may inform strategies to prevent thrombosis. METHODS: We computed incidence rates (IRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for VTE hospitalisation in a cohort of cancer patients (n=57,591) and in a comparison general-population cohort (n=287,476) in Denmark. The subjects entered the study in 1997-2005, and the follow-up continued through 2006. Using Cox proportional-hazards regression, we estimated relative risks (RRs) for VTE predictors, while adjusting for comorbidity. RESULTS: Throughout the follow-up, VTE IR was higher among the cancer patients (IR=8.0, 95% CI=7.6-8.5) than the general population (IR=4.7, 95% CI=4.3-5.1), particularly in the first year after cancer diagnosis (IR=15.0, 95% CI=13.8-16.2, vs IR=8.6, 95% CI=7.6-9.9). Incidence rates of VTE were highest in patients with pancreas (IR=40.9, 95% CI=29.5-56.7), brain (IR=17.7, 95% CI=11.3-27.8) or liver (IR=20.4, 95% CI=9.2-45.3) tumours, multiple myeloma (IR=22.6, 95% CI=15.4-33.2) and among patients with advanced-stage cancers (IR=27.7, 95% CI=24.0-32.0) or those who received chemotherapy or no/symptomatic treatment. The adjusted RR (aRR) for VTE was highest among patients with pancreas (aRR=16.3, 95% CI=8.1-32.6) or brain cancer (aRR=19.8 95% CI=7.1-55.2), multiple myeloma (aRR=46.1, 95% CI=13.1-162.0) and among patients receiving chemotherapy, either alone (aRR=18.5, 95% CI=11.9-28.7) or in combination treatments (aRR=16.2, 95% CI=12.0-21.7). CONCLUSIONS: Risk of VTE is higher among cancer patients than in the general population. Predictors of VTE include recency of cancer diagnosis, cancer site, stage and the type of cancer-directed treatment.

Venous thromboembolism and subsequent diagnosis of subarachnoid hemorrhage: a 20-year cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism is a predictor of subsequent risk of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage, but no data are available regarding its association with risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. OBJECTIVES: To examine this issue, we conducted a nationwide cohort study in Denmark. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1977 and 2007, we identified 97,558 patients with a hospital diagnosis of venous thromboembolism and obtained information on risk of subsequent subarachnoid hemorrhage during follow-up in the Danish Registry of Patients. The incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage in the venous thromboembolism cohort was compared with that of 453,406 population control cohort members. RESULTS: For patients with pulmonary embolism (PE), there was clearly an increased risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage, both during the first year of follow-up [relative risk 2.69; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.32-5.48] and during later follow-up of 2-20 years (relative risk 1.40; 95% CI, 1.05-1.87). For patients with deep venous thrombosis (DVT) the risk was likewise clearly increased during the first year of follow-up (relative risk 1.91; 95% CI, 1.13-3.22), but not during later follow-up (relative risk 1.04; 95% CI, 0.81-1.32). CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence that PE is associated with an increased long-term risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. The two diseases might share etiologic pathways affecting the vessel wall or share unknown risk factors.

Arterial cardiovascular events, statins, low-dose aspirin and subsequent risk of venous thromboembolism: a population-based case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Atherosclerotic disease has been associated with the risk of venous thromboembolism, but the available data are conflicting. There are similar confusions regarding the association of the use of aspirin and statins with venous thromboembolism. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether arterial cardiovascular events, use of statins and low-dose aspirin were associated with the risk of venous thromboembolism. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this population-based case-control study, we identified 5824 patients with venous thromboembolism and 58 240 population controls with a complete hospital and prescription history. We used logistic regression to estimate the relative risk of venous thromboembolism, adjusted for potentially confounding factors. RESULTS: Patients with a history of arterial cardiovascular events had a clearly increased relative risk. An event within 3 months before the index date conferred large increases in risk [relative risk 4.22 (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.33-7.64) after myocardial infarction, 4.41 (95% CI, 2.92-6.65) after stroke]. Myocardial infarction more than 3 months before the index date was not significantly associated with risk, although there was a relative risk of 1.29 (95% CI, 1.05-1.57) for myocardial infarction more than 60 months previously. A history of stroke was associated with small increases in risk after 3 months. Current use of statins was associated with a reduced risk of venous thromboembolism [relative risk=0.74 (95% CI, 0.63-0.85)]. Aspirin use was not associated with risk. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with cardiovascular events are at a short-term increased risk of venous thromboembolism. Statins might prevent venous thromboembolism but aspirin does not. However, as the study is non-randomized residual confounding cannot be excluded.

Effect of seasonality and weather on fracture risk in individuals 65 years and older.

UNLABELLED: In this large population-based study, fracture rates for hips, distal forearms, proximal humeri, and ankles were higher in winter than in other seasons, although the winter peak was small for hip fractures (p < 0.05 at all sites). Younger age between 65 and 80, living in warmer states and male gender were associated with increased winter morbidity due to fractures. INTRODUCTION: The objective was to investigate seasonal variation in the incidence of four common fractures, and explore the association of weather with risk. METHODS: Population-based analysis of individuals age 65 and older, including fractures of the hip, the distal forearm, the proximal humerus and the ankle. Weather information was obtained from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration website. RESULTS: For all fractures, rates were highest in winter and lowest in summer (p < 0.05 at all sites). Winter peaks were more pronounced in warm climate states, in men, and in those younger than 80 years old. In winter, total snowfall was associated with a reduced risk of hip fracture (-5% per 20 inches) but an increased risk of non-hip fractures (6-12%; p < 0.05 at all sites). In summer, hip fracture risk tended to be lower during sunny weather (- 3% per 2 weeks of sunny days; p = 0.13), while other fractures were increased (15%-20%; p < 0.05) in sunny weather. CONCLUSION: Fractures contribute considerably to winter morbidity in older individuals. Younger age between 65 and 80, living in warmer states and male gender are risk factors for increased winter morbidity due to fractures. Weather affects hip fracture risk differently than the other fractures studied.

Use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of oral cancer: a cohort study.

Epidemiologic data regarding the chemopreventive potential of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) against oral cancer are sparse. We found a relative risk for oral cancer of 1.2 (95% CI, 1.0-1.6) among 169,589 Danish NSAID users (> or =2 prescriptions), with no apparent trends in subgroups. Our study provided no clear evidence that NSAIDs may protect against oral cancer.

Newer cyclo-oxygenase-2 selective inhibitors, other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and the risk of acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Case reports have suggested that the use of newer cyclo-oxygenase-2 selective inhibitors may cause acute pancreatitis, but there has been no formal study of the association. AIM: To assess the relationship between the use of cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors and other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and risk of acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A population-based case-control study was conducted using hospital discharge and prescription data from Denmark. Using conditional logistic regression with adjustment for multiple covariates, we estimated the relative risk of acute pancreatitis for use of the cyclo-oxygenase-2 inhibitors celecoxib and rofecoxib and for other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. RESULTS: A total of 3083 cases of acute pancreatitis and 30 830 population controls were identified. For current use the relative risk estimate for celecoxib was 1.4 (95% CI: 0.8-2.3) and for rofecoxib was 1.3 (95% CI: 0.7-2.3). The overall relative risk for other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs was 2.7 (95% CI: 2.4-3.0) with a substantial variation in risk between the individual drugs. The highest relative risk was for diclofenac (odds ratio 5.0, 95% CI: 4.2-5.9) and the lowest for naproxen (odds ratio 1.1, 95% CI: 0.7-1.7). CONCLUSION: Cyclo-oxygenase-2 selective inhibitors are associated with a lower risk of acute pancreatitis than most other non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs.

The risk of a second cancer after hospitalisation for venous thromboembolism.

Although venous thromboembolism (VTE) is common in patients with cancer, it is not known if it is associated with risk of a second malignancy. Using the Danish Cancer Registry and National Registry of Patients, we studied a population-based cohort of 6285 patients with cancer who had an episode of VTE. The risk of a second cancer was compared with that among 30 713 cancer patients without VTE, matched for age, sex, cancer site and year of diagnosis. Overall, the relative risk for a second cancer diagnosis was 1.3 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.4). However, the excess risk varied with the time from the initial cancer diagnosis to the thrombotic event. If the thrombotic episode occurred within the first year, the relative risk for a second cancer was 1.0 (95% CI 0.9-1.3), but if the VTE occurred more than 1 year after the initial cancer, the overall relative risk for a second cancer was 1.4 (95% CI 1.2-1.7), with strong associations for cancers of the digestive organs, ovary and prostate. The association between VTE and subsequent incident cancer extends to patients who already have had a cancer diagnosis.

Histamine receptor antagonists and incident colorectal adenomas.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies suggest that histamines may modulate the development of colorectal neoplasia. AIM: To assess whether histamine receptor antagonist use was associated with adenoma formation. METHODS: Patients (n = 2366) were drawn from three adenoma chemoprevention trials. All underwent baseline colonoscopy with removal of adenoma(s) and were deemed free of remaining lesions; they were followed with surveillance colonoscopy. Medication use was assessed by questionnaire. Adjusted risk ratios for adenoma formation related to histamine receptor antagonist use (histamine H1 and H2 receptor, H1RA and H2RA) were determined using log linear models. RESULTS: In pooled analyses, H1RA exposure was not associated with subsequent adenoma risk (RR = 1.10; 95% CI 0.97-1.25) or multiple adenoma formation (RR = 0.85; 95% CI 0.67-1.07). H2RA use also was not associated with adenoma (RR = 0.90; 95% CI 0.77-1.06), or multiple adenoma (RR = 0.77; 95% CI 0.57-1.04) in the pooled analyses, but H2RA users in the first trial had a decreased risk of adenoma (RR = 0.70; 95% CI 0.48-1.03) and multiple adenoma (RR = 0.31; 95% CI 0.12-0.79). CONCLUSION: H2RA use was associated with reduced risk for adenoma in one trial, but not in the pooled analyses. Further study would be warranted before undertaking randomized trials of H2RAs for adenoma chemoprevention.